Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.021254 0.027355 0.035739 0.048618 0.068958 0.102016 0.165547
2024-12-15 0.014444 0.020556 0.030372 0.048850 0.087506 0.181381 0.531345
2024-12-22 0.011420 0.017292 0.027717 0.050367 0.109710 0.322908 2.423950
2024-12-29 0.009486 0.014992 0.025493 0.050935 0.131524 0.564375 32.271304
2025-01-05 0.007888 0.012799 0.022592 0.048074 0.140425 0.839675 NaN
2025-01-12 0.006836 0.011352 0.020730 0.046810 0.154926 1.391515 NaN
2025-01-19 0.006319 0.010813 0.020644 0.050570 0.201780 4.104671 NaN
2025-01-26 0.006018 0.010630 0.021313 0.057363 0.291844 40.885013 NaN
2025-02-02 0.005743 0.010437 0.021893 0.064595 0.431197 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.005285 0.009754 0.020981 0.065285 0.519925 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.004901 0.009176 0.020204 0.066163 0.634320 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.004551 0.008620 0.019354 0.066216 0.754999 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.004107 0.007844 0.017860 0.063080 0.824132 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.003778 0.007302 0.016968 0.062867 1.025982 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.003537 0.006936 0.016523 0.064993 1.453601 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.003305 0.006555 0.015927 0.065800 1.980952 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 0.003031 0.006029 0.014732 0.061735 2.041884 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 0.002821 0.005646 0.013936 0.059949 2.383875 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.002728 0.005546 0.014084 0.065279 4.849822 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002681 0.005561 0.014647 0.075052 19.232780 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002630 0.005554 0.015140 0.085652 289.538697 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002503 0.005324 0.014710 0.086674 8112.641184 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002389 0.005118 0.014331 0.087976 NaN NaN NaN